California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brad Sherman a 37% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Brad Sherman won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brad Sherman — 37% model odds (won)
  2. Jon Pelzer — 34% model odds
  3. Raji Rab — 29% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts