California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Antonio, Jr. Sabato a 50% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Antonio, Jr. Sabato won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Antonio, Jr. Sabato — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Jeffrey D. Burum — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts