California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Justin Fareed a 50% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Justin Fareed won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Justin Fareed — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Michael Erin Woody — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts