California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Justin James Aguilera a 50% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Justin James Aguilera won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Justin James Aguilera — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Karl Ryan — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts