California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ro Khanna a 49% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Ro Khanna won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ro Khanna — 49% model odds (won)
  2. Stephen Forbes — 32% model odds
  3. Khanh Tran — 20% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts