California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nancy Pelosi a 32% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Nancy Pelosi won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Nancy Pelosi — 32% model odds (won)
  2. Shahid Buttar — 31% model odds (won)
  3. Stephen Jaffe — 26% model odds
  4. Ryan A. Khojasteh — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts