California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jeff Denham a 50% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Jeff Denham won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jeff Denham — 50% model odds (won)
2. Ted D. Howze — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts