California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Marjorie "Marge" Doyle a 33% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Marjorie "Marge" Doyle won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Marjorie "Marge" Doyle — 33% model odds (won)
2. Rita Ramirez — 33% model odds (won)
3. Ronald J. O'Donnell — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts