California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Andrew Grant a 37% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Andrew Grant won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Andrew Grant — 37% model odds (won)
2. Robert Christian "Chris" Richardson — 33% model odds
3. Yona Barash — 30% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts