California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Doris Matsui a 43% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Doris Matsui won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Doris Matsui — 43% model odds (won)
2. Jrmar Jefferson — 28% model odds (won)
3. Ralph Nwobi — 28% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts