California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Garamendi a 50% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. John Garamendi won, matching the model's top pick.

1. John Garamendi — 50% model odds (won)
2. Kevin Puett — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts