California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Doug La Malfa a 37% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Doug La Malfa won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Doug La Malfa — 37% model odds (won)
2. Gregory Edward Cheadle — 31% model odds (won)
3. Lewis Elbinger — 31% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts