California House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Audrey Denney a 32% chance of winning the California House 2018 primary. Audrey Denney won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Audrey Denney — 32% model odds (won)
  2. David Peterson — 32% model odds
  3. Jessica Jones Holcombe — 18% model odds (won)
  4. Marty Walters — 18% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts