Arizona Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kyrsten Sinema an 80% chance of winning the Arizona Senate 2018 primary. Kyrsten Sinema won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Kyrsten Sinema — 80% model odds (won)
2. Deedra Abboud — 20% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts