Arizona House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Debbie # Lesko a 75% chance of winning the Arizona House 2018 primary. Debbie # Lesko won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Debbie # Lesko — 75% model odds (won)
  2. Sandra E. Dowling — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts