Arizona House 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ann Kirkpatrick a 49% chance of winning the Arizona House 2018 primary. Ann Kirkpatrick won, matching the model's top pick.
- Ann Kirkpatrick — 49% model odds (won)
- Maria "Mary" Matiella — 25% model odds
- Matt Heinz — 16% model odds
- Bruce Wheeler — 3% model odds
- Billy Kovacs — 3% model odds
- Barbara Sherry — 3% model odds
- Yahya Yuksel — 3% model odds