Alabama House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Robert Aderholt a 71% chance of winning the Alabama House 2018 primary. Robert Aderholt won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Robert Aderholt — 71% model odds (won)
  2. Anthony Blackmon — 29% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts