Alabama House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Martha Roby an 85% chance of winning the Alabama House 2018 primary. Martha Roby won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Martha Roby — 85% model odds (won)
2. Tommy Amason — 6% model odds
3. Bobby Bright — 3% model odds
4. Barry Moore — 3% model odds
5. Rich Hobson — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts