Alaska House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Don Young a 44% chance of winning the Alaska House 2018 primary. Don Young won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Don Young — 44% model odds (won)
2. Thomas "John" Nelson — 44% model odds
3. Jed Whittaker — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts