Alaska House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dimitri Shein a 57% chance of winning the Alaska House 2018 primary. Alyse S. Galvin won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Dimitri Shein — 57% model odds
  2. Alyse S. Galvin — 14% model odds (won)
  3. Carol Hafner — 14% model odds
  4. Christopher C. Cummings — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts