Wyoming House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Leland Christensen a 30% chance of winning the Wyoming House 2016 primary. Liz Cheney won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Leland Christensen — 30% model odds
  2. Liz Cheney — 13% model odds (won)
  3. Mike Konsmo — 13% model odds
  4. Darin Smith — 7% model odds
  5. Tim Stubson — 7% model odds
  6. Jason Adam Senteney — 7% model odds
  7. Paul Paad — 7% model odds
  8. Heath Beaudry — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts