Wisconsin Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Russ Feingold a 33% chance of winning the Wisconsin Senate 2016 primary. Russ Feingold won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Russ Feingold — 33% model odds (won)
2. Scott Harbach — 33% model odds
3. Scattered — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts