Wisconsin House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Frank Lasee an 84% chance of winning the Wisconsin House 2016 primary. Mike Gallagher won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Frank Lasee — 84% model odds
  2. Mike Gallagher — 7% model odds (won)
  3. Scattered — 7% model odds
  4. Terry Mcnulty — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts