Wisconsin House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scattered a 25% chance of winning the Wisconsin House 2016 primary. Scattered won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Scattered — 25% model odds
2. Wendy Gribben — 25% model odds
3. Jerry Kobishop — 25% model odds
4. Scattered — 25% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts