Wisconsin House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mary Hoeft an 89% chance of winning the Wisconsin House 2016 primary. Mary Hoeft won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mary Hoeft — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 7% model odds
  3. Joel Lewis — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts