Wisconsin House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Myron Buchholz a 71% chance of winning the Wisconsin House 2016 primary. Ron Kind won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Myron Buchholz — 71% model odds
  2. Ron Kind — 23% model odds (won)
  3. Scattered — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts