Wisconsin House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Paul Ryan an 86% chance of winning the Wisconsin House 2016 primary. Paul Ryan won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Paul Ryan — 86% model odds (won)
2. Scattered — 8% model odds
3. Paul Nehlen — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts