Washington Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chris Vance a 59% chance of winning the Washington Senate 2016 primary. Chris Vance won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chris Vance — 59% model odds (won)
  2. Donna Rae Lands — 11% model odds
  3. Eric John Makus — 7% model odds (won)
  4. Sam Wright — 7% model odds
  5. Uncle Mover — 7% model odds
  6. Jeremy Teuton — 7% model odds
  7. Scott Nazarino — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts