Washington Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dr. Pano Churchill a 50% chance of winning the Washington Senate 2016 primary. Dr. Pano Churchill won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Dr. Pano Churchill — 50% model odds (won)
2. Mike Luke — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts