Washington Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ted Cummings a 39% chance of winning the Washington Senate 2016 primary. Ted Cummings won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ted Cummings — 39% model odds (won)
  2. Chuck Jackson — 30% model odds (won)
  3. Zach Haller — 30% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts