Washington Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Patty Murray a 53% chance of winning the Washington Senate 2016 primary. Patty Murray won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Patty Murray — 53% model odds (won)
2. Thor Amundson — 25% model odds
3. Mohammad Said — 13% model odds
4. Philip L. Cornell — 9% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts