Washington House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Denny Heck a 50% chance of winning the Washington House 2016 primary. Denny Heck won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Denny Heck — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Jennifer Gigi Ferguson — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts