Washington House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Pramila Jayapal a 38% chance of winning the Washington House 2016 primary. Pramila Jayapal won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Pramila Jayapal — 38% model odds (won)
2. Brady Piñero Walkinshaw — 36% model odds (won)
3. Joe Mcdermott — 16% model odds
4. Arun Jhaveri — 5% model odds
5. Don Rivers — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts