Virginia House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michael L. "Mike" Wade an 82% chance of winning the Virginia House 2016 primary. Michael L. "Mike" Wade won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Michael L. "Mike" Wade — 82% model odds (won)
  2. Jackee K. Gonzalez — 9% model odds
  3. Scattered — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts