Virginia House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave A. Donald Mceachin an 89% chance of winning the Virginia House 2016 primary. A. Donald Mceachin won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. A. Donald Mceachin — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 8% model odds
  3. Ella P. Ward — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts