Virginia House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scott W. Taylor a 71% chance of winning the Virginia House 2016 primary. Scott W. Taylor won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Scott W. Taylor — 71% model odds (won)
2. Scattered — 18% model odds
3. J. Randy Forbes — 5% model odds
4. C. Pat, Iv Cardwell — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts