Utah House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jason Chaffetz an 80% chance of winning the Utah House 2016 primary. Jason Chaffetz won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jason Chaffetz — 80% model odds (won)
  2. Chia-Chi Teng — 20% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts