Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Susan Narvaiz an 83% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Susan Narvaiz won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Susan Narvaiz — 83% model odds (won)
  2. Scott Trimble — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts