Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rey, Jr. Gonzalez a 76% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Rey, Jr. Gonzalez won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Rey, Jr. Gonzalez — 76% model odds (won)
  2. William "Willie" Vaden — 24% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts