Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Pete Sessions an 87% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Pete Sessions won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Pete Sessions — 87% model odds (won)
2. Russ Ramsland — 5% model odds
3. Paul Brown — 3% model odds
4. Cherie Myint Roughneen — 3% model odds
5. Gary Stuard — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts