Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Charles Lingerfelt a 50% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Charles Lingerfelt won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Charles Lingerfelt — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Thom Prentice — 50% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts