Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eddie Bernice Johnson a 90% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Eddie Bernice Johnson won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Eddie Bernice Johnson — 90% model odds (won)
2. Brandon J. Vance — 7% model odds
3. Barbara Mallory Caraway — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts