Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Julio Garza a 33% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Julio Garza won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Julio Garza — 33% model odds (won)
  2. Robert Schafranek — 33% model odds
  3. James Partsch-Galvan — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts