Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Zeffen Hardin a 50% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Zeffen Hardin won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Zeffen Hardin — 50% model odds (won)
2. Michael D. Cary — 50% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts