Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Henry Cuellar a 67% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Henry Cuellar won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Henry Cuellar — 67% model odds (won)
2. William R. Hayward — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts