Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Raul Barrera an 85% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Raul Barrera won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Raul Barrera — 85% model odds (won)
  2. Ray Madrigal — 7% model odds
  3. Wayne Raasch — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts