Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michael C. Burgess an 85% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Michael C. Burgess won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Michael C. Burgess — 85% model odds (won)
  2. Joel A. Krause — 7% model odds
  3. Micah Beebe — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts