Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Glen Robertson a 53% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Glen Robertson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Glen Robertson — 53% model odds (won)
  2. Jodey Arrington — 20% model odds
  3. Greg Garrett — 4% model odds
  4. Derenda Warren — 4% model odds
  5. John C. Key — 4% model odds
  6. Mark Lawson — 4% model odds
  7. Donald R. May — 3% model odds
  8. Michael Bob Starr — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts