Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lori Bartley an 82% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Lori Bartley won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lori Bartley — 82% model odds (won)
  2. Reggie Gonzales — 18% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts