Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lori Bartley a 76% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Lori Bartley won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lori Bartley — 76% model odds (won)
  2. Reggie Gonzales — 7% model odds
  3. Sharon Joy Fisher — 7% model odds
  4. Thomas Kleven — 7% model odds
  5. Ava Pate — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts